Unemployment claims continue to drive ever higher in the United States, hitting the 15th straight week of records for the week ending May 9. Last week’s new jobless claims came in at an alarming 637,000 according to the US Department of Labor — bringing the continuing claims total to 6.56 Million. (Continuing claims data lags new jobless claims data by one week). The unemployment rate reached 8.9% in April and judging from the new claims, is apparently continuing to rise.
The Department of Labor reports:
UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE WEEKLY CLAIMS REPORT
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED DATA
In the week ending May 9, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 637,000, an increase of 32,000 from the previous week’s revised figure of 605,000. The 4-week moving average was 630,500, an increase of 6,000 from the previous week’s revised average of 624,500.
The advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate was 4.9 percent for the week ending May 2, an increase of 0.1 percentage point from the prior week’s unrevised rate of 4.8 percent.
The advance number for seasonally adjusted insured unemployment during the week ending May 2 was 6,560,000, an increase of 202,000 from the preceding week’s revised level of 6,358,000. The 4-week moving average was 6,337,250, an increase of 128,750 from the preceding week’s revised average of 6,208,500.
The fiscal year-to-date average for seasonally adjusted insured unemployment for all programs is 5.011 million.
UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE DATA FOR REGULAR STATE PROGRAMS
Advance Prior1 WEEK ENDING May 9 May 2 Change April 25 Year
Initial Claims (SA) 637,000 605,000 +32,000 635,000 375,000 Initial Claims (NSA) 565,395 537,539 +27,856 580,377 325,480 4-Wk Moving Average (SA) 630,500 624,500 +6,000 638,250 369,500
Advance Prior1 WEEK ENDING May 2 April 25 Change April 18 Year
Ins. Unemployment (SA) 6,560,000 6,358,000 +202,000 6,293,000 3,063,000 Ins. Unemployment (NSA) 6,166,785 6,262,622 -95,837 6,299,278 2,845,952 4-Wk Moving Average (SA) 6,337,250 6,208,500 +128,750 6,081,500 3,006,750
While most of the increase in claims is due to auto-worker layoffs, (Chrysler laid off an estimated 27,000 workers after declaring bankruptcy on April 30th. ) we should expect an additional bout of layoffs next month when General Motors slashes jobs.
Even with such dismal employment figures, the mainstream media is awash with reports of “improvement”. Again, we’re forced to point out that a slowing rate of decline is a far cry from actual improvement. As we’ve noted before, pointing to the second derivative as a sign of “improvement” is akin to watching a parachutist open his chute — and as his descent begins to slow, concluding that he is about to start gaining altitude.
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